Around the Big 12: Week 13

Last Week: 3-2

Overall: 43-17

 

Ah shit. Thanksgiving week got the better of me. With that being said, the show must go on with picks, so here is what I thought about the last week of the regular Big 12 season.

Baylot @ #12 TCU (TCU won, 45-22. The spread was TCU -25.5.) 

I had TCU winning this game, but failing to cover. And, by the grace of Gary Patterson, the did exactly that! See you in Arlington, Frogs.

Kansas @ #19 Oklahoma State (OSU -41.5)

OSU really laid an egg last week against K-State.  The fact that they are a measly 2-3 at home is both sad and hilarious for what was supposedly their best team ever. Don’t expect them to drop this one to the Jayhawks though; they will be out for blood. OSU, 45-3

Texas Tech @ Texas (Tech won, 27-23. The spread [that I got, anyways] was Texas -10.5)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Iowa State @ Kansas State (KSU -1.5)

I’ve honestly forgotten about both of these teams. This one is going to be a real snooze fest. I’ll go with Iowa State I guess. ISU, 21-17

West Virginia @ #4 Oklahoma (OU -23.0)

Can we just kickoff the Big 12 Championship already? OU will win, but not without it being needlessly difficult against a mediocre Mountaineers squad without their best player in Will Grier. OU, 35-20

Around the Big 12: Week 12

Last Week: 5-0

Overall: 40-15

Hey! An undefeated week! Not too bad, especially with how tight the matchups were.

Championship November takes a break this week as the contenders are playing the mediocre and downright bad teams of the league. But don’t dismiss that 5-5 teams just yet; the fight for a bowl berth is still in play. Look for these games to be closer than the experts think.

#12 TCU @ Texas Tech (TCU -7.0) 

This is actually a tricky spot for TCU. How are they going to handle the death of their playoff hopes from last week? Going into a rivalry game (or at least that is what the TCU kids last weekend told me) on the road, especially in Lubbock is hard. However, it’s 11 am so absolutely no Tech kids will be there in the first place. I’m 1-0 on this theory. TCU, 24-10.

Kansas State @ #13 Oklahoma State (OSU -20.5)

Whooooooa the disrespect towards the Wildcats! OSU favored by freaking 20.5? I know the Wildcats aren’t great, but that’s a high line, even when going against that Oklahoma State offense fighting to stay in the Big 12 championship race. Expect Kansas State to keep this one close, but not too close. OSU, 28-14.

Iowa State @ Baylor (ISU -9.5)

Poor Iowa State. They had a damn good run, but this Big 12 is just too good to survive in if you lose to teams like Texas before you randomly decide to be good again. Hey, at least they get in a bowl, which would have made most ISU fans season if you told them that in August. They’ll beat the snot out of Baylor this week. 31-7

Texas @ West Virginia (WVU -3.5)

Alleged “best quarterback in the Big 12” Will Grier goes up against a Texas team just trying so hard to get bowl eligible. Texas does have a good defense, but I just don’t see them winning this one in Morgantown. And picking this week is really, really, really boring.

#4 Oklahoma @ Kansas (OU -37.0)

This one is just going to be a bloodbath. However, get excited for Kyler Murray in the 2nd half. I’m actually really excited to see him unleashed. That part is going to be great. The rest? I’d rather watch the OU spring game. OU, 65-3.

Around the Big 12: Week 11

Last Week: 2-3

Overall: 35-15

Not so great week for picking last week. But hey, that’s what happens when the conference you pick is decently inconsistant and Iowa State finally decides to come back to Earth.

This week will decide a lot as far as the conference championship picture goes. Two teams are playing an elimination game (OSU-Iowa State), while another two teams are playing for a virtual lock in the conference championship game (OU-TCU).

Oh and not to mention that second game? It’s #5 vs #6 with playoff implications at stake. Get excited.

Kansas @ Texas (Texas -34.0) 

We gather here today in remembrance of the greatest college football meme that ever was. Last year’s hilarious Kansas/Texas outcome might have been the funniest way for a Texas season to unravel. Yes, we had already known that Texas indeed wasn’t “back”. We knew they were garbage. But does that make one of the proudest programs in the history of the sport losing to one of the worst any less hilarious?

Nope. And while Texas will most likely beat Kansas Saturday, we all will hold this moment deep in our hearts. When the final gun goes off Saturday, keep these words in your mind:

“Don’t let Texas beating Kansas in football distract you from the fact Texas lost to Kansas in football.”

RIP, 2016 Texas/Kansas jokes. You will be missed. Texas, 56-3.

(please win Kansas)

#15 Oklahoma State @ #21 Iowa State (OSU -6.5)

Of course, the week I finally pick Iowa State, they decide to end their miracle Big 12 run. With that being said, i’m not even really sure the Cyclones are even out of this conference race.

With that being said, post-Bedlam Oklahoma State is probably the worst team to attempt to rebound against. The Cowboys didn’t exactly look bad against OU; they just couldn’t slow down Baker Mayfield.

I think this one might be a coin flip, but i’ll take the Pokes and Mason Rudolph in a big response. OSU, 35-24.

West Virginia @ Kansas State (KSU -2.5)

The Big 12 has a mediocre team problem. While most 4-4 teams would give up and roll over, the Wildcats just keep on chugging as a relative threat toward higher mid-tiered teams. That gutty win in Lubbock showed that K-State still has some heart left in them.

This is a huge trap game for West Virginia, who are just coming off a big win against Iowa State. The Mountaineers are somewhere between mediocre and top tier; this game will decide which category they belong in. I’m going ‘Neers. WVU, 21-10.

Baylor vs Texas Tech (Tech -7.5)

Talk about two programs going in different directions. Well, kinda; Baylor got it’s first win and Tech just continues to tumble further down. Tech is on a four game losing streak and what started as a positive season for Kliff Kingsbury is starting to look like his last. Do the Red Raiders have enough heart to get a win? I think so. Tech, 48-21.

#6 TCU @ #5 Oklahoma (OU -6.5)

These games are always a battle. As I’ve covered earlier this week, games between OU and TCU are always close. I honestly think this weekend’s battle will be more of the same.

TCU’s defense is easily the best in the Big 12, holding conference teams to an average of 12.5 points per game. However, is there actually any defense that can stop Baker Mayfield and that Oklahoma offense? Even the best defenses in the Big 12 can only hold OU to at best 30 points.

Does OU’s defense suck? Yeah. But Kenny Hill and TCU’s offense isn’t exactly a unit to be feared. All the defense has to do is hold this anemic offense (by Big 12 standards) to just enough points to fall under what Baker puts up.

I think the most dominant unit wins. OU, 42-38.

 

Around the Big 12: Week 10

Last Week: 3-2

Overall: 33-12

It’s Bedlam Week! Usually for the Big 12, that also means championship weekend, but the league office (and Iowa State) had other plans. However, this weekend isn’t just Bedlam and some garbage games. Iowa State and TCU both have big team that will shape the landscape of the Big 12 Championship game come December.

We are officially in Championship November, so strap in. Anything can happen in this crazy league.

Baylor @ Kansas (Baylor -7.5) 

THE FUTILITY BOWL! College Gameday should honestly be at this one. Baylor and Kansas very well might be the worst two teams in the power 5, as both are winless against FCS opponents. Honestly, I think Baylor might have just given up. They looked helpless against Texas last week and Kansas at least showed signs of life against K-State. Give the Jayhawks! Kansas, 24-21 (OT)

#16 Iowa State @ West Virginia (WVU -2.5)

The Cyclones keep on rolling through Big 12 contenders like it’s nothing. Now, they are miraculously in the driver’s seat for the Big 12 title. With that being said, playing in Morgantown seems like the perfect place for the ‘Clones to slip up. Honestly, I just can’t go against an underdog Iowa State team anymore. They are for real. Iowa State, 21-10.

Texas @ #8 TCU (TCU -7.0)

Tough luck last weekend for TCU. While the Frogs learned about Iowa State the hard way, Texas laid the hammer down on Baylor. At this point in the season, TCU is fighting for the Big 12 title and a slim shot at the College Football Playoff and Texas is just trying to get bowl eligible. This is going to be a battle, but the Frogs get back to winning ways. TCU, 41-31.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech (Tech -3.0)

Poor Tech. A few weeks ago, they had things turned around. The Red Raiders were a legit team in the Top 25, hell maybe even the 4th best in the Big 12. Now they are 4-4 and struggling to stay afloat. If you want to point out the real victims of how hard it is to win in the Big 12 round robin, look no further than the team in Lubbock.

Kansas State has gotten the bad end of the stick too, but they lost to Vandy so screw them.  Tech, 45-21.

#5 Oklahoma @ #11 Oklahoma State  (OSU -2.5)

Uh oh. The Sooners are another road underdog to another OSU. I meant, just look at Baker here.

Both the Sooners and Baker are easily at their best when they are doubted. When OU is comfortable, things go rapidly down hill. Watching Baker’s reaction here and knowing how vicious the Poke crowd is on Bedlam has firmly convinced me this game is going to be a beatdown. The endless amount of Fayetteville references will only fuel these guys more.

Not only that, but Cale Gundy’s brother just can’t coach these things. Unless he has a clearly superior team or is coaching against a team starting Cody Thomas at quarterback, he just can’t get it done in Bedlam.

The real question should be whether or not Baker plants the flag. OU, 52-31.

Around the Big 12: Week 9

Last Week: 4-1

Overall: 30-10

That .750 percentile though!! Somehow i’ve done pretty decent this season in straight up picks. Against the spread? Ehhhh let’s ignore that.

Anyways, this is going to be an interesting weekend in the Big 12. The championship race is starting to come into picture, teams are getting pushed down the ladder to bowl eligibility, all the usual midseason bullshit.

#4 TCU @ #25 Iowa State (TCU -6.5) 

GOD BLESS THAT #25 NEXT TO IOWA STATE! Seriously, this one is hard to pick a side to root for. On one hand, Iowa State’s rapid rise makes our loss look far less shitty. One the other hand, we need as many big wins as we can get, and TCU would be a crown jewel of a win. In terms of how the two sides match up….tough call here. TCU is the better team, but Iowa State is so damn squirrelly. I just can’t stomach picking them this time. TCU, 31-28

Kansas State @ Kansas (KSU -24.0)

Get hype for the biggest rivalry in college football!!! Kansas was described by Dan LeBetard earlier this week as “the most incompetent thing that I’ve seen in major sports”. And honestly, it’s really hard to disagree with him. There is no excuse for this team being this bad in a major conference. They haven’t scored in two games. They needed a damn running clock to let the suffering end last week. I mean, Jesus. Kansas State, 55-3.

Texas @ Baylor (UT -8.0)

Baylor just can’t get it done. Despite being 0-7, they keep getting juuuuuust close enough to getting that coveted first win. This game against Texas might just be the game they get. And honestly, with Sam Ehlinger having spaghetti brain, I think this is the one they get. Baylor, 24-21.

#11 Oklahoma State @ #22 West Virginia (OSU -7.5)

The Big 12 cannibalisation continues! It’s a big time quarterback battle in Morgantown as West Virginia fans finally get to see if Will Grier is better than Mason Rudolph. I think Grier outperforms Rudolph, but fails to get the win. OSU, 52-49 (OT)

Texas Tech @ #10 Oklahoma  (OU -14.0)

Are you ready for a damn shootout? Honestly, just forget about getting mad at Mike Stoops at this point. You should know exactly what you are going to get here. Shoddy defense and ton of points and yards. I think OU wins, but not without 85,000 people pulling out their hair in frustration. OU, 48-45.

Around the Big 12: Week 8

Last Week: 4-1

Overall: 26-9

Oh hey y’all. So about last week…I switched out my Texas prediction. Here’s the Twitter proof.

Anyways, the real problem with the Big 12 is starting to show. There aren’t enough middle ground teams to boost the overall record quality of the league’s record. Tech and WVU are both legitimate top 25 teams, but both aren’t good enough to beat the upper echelon of the conference, which will inevitably drop them out.

The cannibalization has started folks.

Kansas @ #4 TCU (TCU -39.0) 

This is the most bizarre series. Despite being one of the best teams in the Big 12 since joining, TCU hasn’t beaten Kansas by more than 14 points. Weird shit happens in these games, so roll with Kansas and the points. Hell, throw 50 cents at KU and the money line for shits and giggles. TCU, 41-24

Iowa State @ Texas Tech (Tech -7.0)

This is a tough one. While Tech has proven several times this season they aren’t the pushover they used to be, Iowa State has the more impressive win. Fortunately for Iowa State this is an 11 AM so there is about a 10% chance the town of Lubbock will be awake in time for kickoff. Iowa State, 38-35

#23 West Virginia @ Baylor (WVU -9.5)

Baylor continues to melt down. I don’t even know what to say here. WVU, 56-14

#10 Oklahoma State @ Texas (OSU -7.0)

This is a sneaky good game! With a loss here, Texas’ season goes into full meltdown mode. On the flipside, any playoff hopes (and Big 12 title hopes?) are over for the Pokes if they lose this in Austin. Tom Herman finally gets his big win. Texas, 48-42

#9 Oklahoma @ Kansas State (OU -14.0)

 

I was really worried about this one in preseason. This just seemed like a good year for Kansas State, with the strong finish last season against A&M and a solid overall regular season performance.

But on closer examination, this team really isn’t anything special at all.

Trap games for OU now are about blown coverages and weird schemes. K-State doesn’t have a breakout receiver or linebacker at quarterback. They have officially run out of Lockett brothers. This game will be perfect for OU to right the ship. OU, 31-3.

Around the Big 12: Week 7

Last Week: 3-1

Overall: 22-8

Big shakeup week in the Big 12 last week. Everything is completely out of wack. Iowa State winning is Norman is one of the most confounding things i’ve seen in my life. Texas Tech is ranked. TCU and Texas would be in the Big 12 title if it started today. Things simply don’t make sense anymore in this league and honestly six teams probably have an outside chance at winning this thing at this point. What a time to be a Big 12 fan (OU fans not included).

Kansas @ Iowa State (ISU -20.5) 

Iowa fucking State.  After looking insanely blah against Texas, turns out all this team needed was an iron man quarterback-linebacker, a solid backup and a shitty secondary to play against. They have another shitty secondary to torch this week. ISU, 35-17

#24 Texas Tech @ West Virginia (WVU -3.5)

High powered offenses and heavy drinkers collide! It’s a damn shame these two schools are so far away, because seeing Red Raiders in Morgantown would be a beautiful shitshow. The game will be a battle for #24 as Texas Tech hopes to hold on to their first Top 25 ranking in over four years. The ranking lives another day. Tech, 45-42

Baylor @ #14 Oklahoma State (OSU -25.5)

Baylor just can’t catch a break. I really do think they’ll get a game eventually, but not against a rested and reenergized Mason Rudolph and Oklahoma State. OSU, 56-13.

#6 TCU @ Kansas State (TCU -4.5)

The new team to beat in the Big 12 heads up north to face a trap game in Manhattan. This game will be a slugfest for TCU as Kansas State is a scrappy team that can sneak up on anyone in any week. I think the Frogs narrowly escape the Purple Bowl, but not without a serious scare from the Wildcats. TCU, 28-24

#12 Oklahoma vs Texas (OU -7.5)

I have no idea what to think of this Oklahoma team. On one hand, they play with a fire under their ass when they are doubted. On the other hand, they look flat out lazy against teams they think they should roll over and guess what? They got beat in the biggest point spread upset in school history.

So, what does the team do Monday? They go into their press conference and start talking about their goddamn playoff chances again! YOU JUST LOST TO IOWA STATE AND HAVE YOUR BIGGEST RIVAL TEXAS THIS WEEK. I know I made a pledge to be positive, but damn. The playoffs should be the farthest thing from their mind. Looking ahead is what got your dumbasses in this spot in the first place. Texas is a good team. Go out and beat Texas and i’ll pick the Sooners again. Prove this irrelevant and angry blogger wrong. Texas, 35-31