Big 12 Tournament: Finals

Welcome to conference tournament season. It’s March, which means two things: basketball and gambling. Here’s your guide for today’s Big 12 action, starting at 5:00 PM on ESPN.

Kansas vs. Iowa State (EVEN)

You have to be kidding me. Freaking Kansas, who I faded a few days ago, lucked into getting into the finals. To make matters worse, Iowa State, who has been red hot in tournament, isn’t even getting any points from Vegas. Oh well. Give me the Cyclones to redeem my tournament preview. Iowa State

Big 12 Tournament: Semifinal Spread

Welcome to conference tournament season. It’s March, which means two things: basketball and gambling. Here’s your guide for today’s Big 12 action, starting at 11:30 AM on ESPN 2.

Record: 4-2 (3-1 on Day 2)

Kansas State vs. Iowa State (Even)

Ohhhh Jesus. I have been trying to figure out who to pick on this one since last night and settled on just picking the underdog straight up. So what does Vegas do? Make the odds even to make it harder on the world.

Both teams are well represented in KC, both are good squads, however Iowa State looked overly impressive in a romp over Baylor while Kansas State struggled to put away TCU. Give the Cyclones three or four points and I would be tempted to pick them, but in this situation I’m going with the better team off a tough game. Kansas State

Kansas vs. West Virginia (KU -10.5)

Of course this would happen to Kansas basketball. Their worst team this decade is handed a first round win by an incompetent Texas team (0-6 in the final 2:44, yet somehow UT hit the last field goal?) and then they happen to get a 10 seed in the semifinals? Of course Jayhawk luck would prevail.

This West Virginia team is scrappy and two unlikely wins away from actually making the damn tournament. However, their luck and energy are probably going to run dry in Phog Allen East tonight. Here’s hoping it doesn’t. Kansas *gags* wins, but the Mountaineers cover the spread. Let’s keep this cover train rolling. West Virginia, +10.5

Big 12 Tournament Day 1 Spread

Welcome to conference tournament season. It’s March, which means two things: basketball and gambling. Here’s your guide for today’s Big 12 action, starting at 6:00 PM on ESPN U.

#8 TCU vs. #9 Oklahoma State (TCU -4)

 I cannot emphasize this enough: hammer the Frogs here. I know TCU has completely stumbled down the stretch, losing six of their last eight (including a bad loss in Stillwater), but this is a team fighting for their tournament lives.

I know, Oklahoma State has shown the ability to surprise (they beat SEC champion LSU) but with all due respect to their scrappy band of student managers and mid-season walk-ons, Jim Dixon and the Horned Frogs should easily get this win and the cover. Otherwise, they deserve to get faded out of the Big 12 forever (Sorry, Blake). Frogs -4 is too much of a tasty treat to not take. TCU, -4.

#7 Oklahoma vs. #10 West Virginia (OU -6.5)

Vegas is weirdly high on the Sooners, as evidenced by this relatively high line. I know the Mountaineers are bad, but Jesus do we really trust this OU basketball this much with 6.5 points? I felt the same way a few weeks ago during the last matchup between these teams and Oklahoma pulled off a comfortable cover.

With that being said, I still feel more comfortable with this game being a closer win from OU or a West Virginia upset. Neutral court matters and I think the Sooners cool off a bit away from the LNC. From here on out, the biggest thing for the Sooner success is hoping that any combination of Jamal Bieniemy, Aaron Calixte, Brady Manek and Christian James get hot and help out Kristian Doolittle for once.

Figuring out if this Oklahoma team shows up against decent competition is nearly impossible, but thankfully we have that overzealous Vegas line. Go with West Virginia here and consider sprinkling some cash on the moneyline for the highest value upset bit of the tournament. West Virginia, +6.5

Around the Big 12: Week 13

Last Week: 3-2

Overall: 43-17

 

Ah shit. Thanksgiving week got the better of me. With that being said, the show must go on with picks, so here is what I thought about the last week of the regular Big 12 season.

Baylot @ #12 TCU (TCU won, 45-22. The spread was TCU -25.5.) 

I had TCU winning this game, but failing to cover. And, by the grace of Gary Patterson, the did exactly that! See you in Arlington, Frogs.

Kansas @ #19 Oklahoma State (OSU -41.5)

OSU really laid an egg last week against K-State.  The fact that they are a measly 2-3 at home is both sad and hilarious for what was supposedly their best team ever. Don’t expect them to drop this one to the Jayhawks though; they will be out for blood. OSU, 45-3

Texas Tech @ Texas (Tech won, 27-23. The spread [that I got, anyways] was Texas -10.5)

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Iowa State @ Kansas State (KSU -1.5)

I’ve honestly forgotten about both of these teams. This one is going to be a real snooze fest. I’ll go with Iowa State I guess. ISU, 21-17

West Virginia @ #4 Oklahoma (OU -23.0)

Can we just kickoff the Big 12 Championship already? OU will win, but not without it being needlessly difficult against a mediocre Mountaineers squad without their best player in Will Grier. OU, 35-20

Around the Big 12: Week 12

Last Week: 5-0

Overall: 40-15

Hey! An undefeated week! Not too bad, especially with how tight the matchups were.

Championship November takes a break this week as the contenders are playing the mediocre and downright bad teams of the league. But don’t dismiss that 5-5 teams just yet; the fight for a bowl berth is still in play. Look for these games to be closer than the experts think.

#12 TCU @ Texas Tech (TCU -7.0) 

This is actually a tricky spot for TCU. How are they going to handle the death of their playoff hopes from last week? Going into a rivalry game (or at least that is what the TCU kids last weekend told me) on the road, especially in Lubbock is hard. However, it’s 11 am so absolutely no Tech kids will be there in the first place. I’m 1-0 on this theory. TCU, 24-10.

Kansas State @ #13 Oklahoma State (OSU -20.5)

Whooooooa the disrespect towards the Wildcats! OSU favored by freaking 20.5? I know the Wildcats aren’t great, but that’s a high line, even when going against that Oklahoma State offense fighting to stay in the Big 12 championship race. Expect Kansas State to keep this one close, but not too close. OSU, 28-14.

Iowa State @ Baylor (ISU -9.5)

Poor Iowa State. They had a damn good run, but this Big 12 is just too good to survive in if you lose to teams like Texas before you randomly decide to be good again. Hey, at least they get in a bowl, which would have made most ISU fans season if you told them that in August. They’ll beat the snot out of Baylor this week. 31-7

Texas @ West Virginia (WVU -3.5)

Alleged “best quarterback in the Big 12” Will Grier goes up against a Texas team just trying so hard to get bowl eligible. Texas does have a good defense, but I just don’t see them winning this one in Morgantown. And picking this week is really, really, really boring.

#4 Oklahoma @ Kansas (OU -37.0)

This one is just going to be a bloodbath. However, get excited for Kyler Murray in the 2nd half. I’m actually really excited to see him unleashed. That part is going to be great. The rest? I’d rather watch the OU spring game. OU, 65-3.

Around the Big 12: Week 11

Last Week: 2-3

Overall: 35-15

Not so great week for picking last week. But hey, that’s what happens when the conference you pick is decently inconsistant and Iowa State finally decides to come back to Earth.

This week will decide a lot as far as the conference championship picture goes. Two teams are playing an elimination game (OSU-Iowa State), while another two teams are playing for a virtual lock in the conference championship game (OU-TCU).

Oh and not to mention that second game? It’s #5 vs #6 with playoff implications at stake. Get excited.

Kansas @ Texas (Texas -34.0) 

We gather here today in remembrance of the greatest college football meme that ever was. Last year’s hilarious Kansas/Texas outcome might have been the funniest way for a Texas season to unravel. Yes, we had already known that Texas indeed wasn’t “back”. We knew they were garbage. But does that make one of the proudest programs in the history of the sport losing to one of the worst any less hilarious?

Nope. And while Texas will most likely beat Kansas Saturday, we all will hold this moment deep in our hearts. When the final gun goes off Saturday, keep these words in your mind:

“Don’t let Texas beating Kansas in football distract you from the fact Texas lost to Kansas in football.”

RIP, 2016 Texas/Kansas jokes. You will be missed. Texas, 56-3.

(please win Kansas)

#15 Oklahoma State @ #21 Iowa State (OSU -6.5)

Of course, the week I finally pick Iowa State, they decide to end their miracle Big 12 run. With that being said, i’m not even really sure the Cyclones are even out of this conference race.

With that being said, post-Bedlam Oklahoma State is probably the worst team to attempt to rebound against. The Cowboys didn’t exactly look bad against OU; they just couldn’t slow down Baker Mayfield.

I think this one might be a coin flip, but i’ll take the Pokes and Mason Rudolph in a big response. OSU, 35-24.

West Virginia @ Kansas State (KSU -2.5)

The Big 12 has a mediocre team problem. While most 4-4 teams would give up and roll over, the Wildcats just keep on chugging as a relative threat toward higher mid-tiered teams. That gutty win in Lubbock showed that K-State still has some heart left in them.

This is a huge trap game for West Virginia, who are just coming off a big win against Iowa State. The Mountaineers are somewhere between mediocre and top tier; this game will decide which category they belong in. I’m going ‘Neers. WVU, 21-10.

Baylor vs Texas Tech (Tech -7.5)

Talk about two programs going in different directions. Well, kinda; Baylor got it’s first win and Tech just continues to tumble further down. Tech is on a four game losing streak and what started as a positive season for Kliff Kingsbury is starting to look like his last. Do the Red Raiders have enough heart to get a win? I think so. Tech, 48-21.

#6 TCU @ #5 Oklahoma (OU -6.5)

These games are always a battle. As I’ve covered earlier this week, games between OU and TCU are always close. I honestly think this weekend’s battle will be more of the same.

TCU’s defense is easily the best in the Big 12, holding conference teams to an average of 12.5 points per game. However, is there actually any defense that can stop Baker Mayfield and that Oklahoma offense? Even the best defenses in the Big 12 can only hold OU to at best 30 points.

Does OU’s defense suck? Yeah. But Kenny Hill and TCU’s offense isn’t exactly a unit to be feared. All the defense has to do is hold this anemic offense (by Big 12 standards) to just enough points to fall under what Baker puts up.

I think the most dominant unit wins. OU, 42-38.

 

Around the Big 12: Week 10

Last Week: 3-2

Overall: 33-12

It’s Bedlam Week! Usually for the Big 12, that also means championship weekend, but the league office (and Iowa State) had other plans. However, this weekend isn’t just Bedlam and some garbage games. Iowa State and TCU both have big team that will shape the landscape of the Big 12 Championship game come December.

We are officially in Championship November, so strap in. Anything can happen in this crazy league.

Baylor @ Kansas (Baylor -7.5) 

THE FUTILITY BOWL! College Gameday should honestly be at this one. Baylor and Kansas very well might be the worst two teams in the power 5, as both are winless against FCS opponents. Honestly, I think Baylor might have just given up. They looked helpless against Texas last week and Kansas at least showed signs of life against K-State. Give the Jayhawks! Kansas, 24-21 (OT)

#16 Iowa State @ West Virginia (WVU -2.5)

The Cyclones keep on rolling through Big 12 contenders like it’s nothing. Now, they are miraculously in the driver’s seat for the Big 12 title. With that being said, playing in Morgantown seems like the perfect place for the ‘Clones to slip up. Honestly, I just can’t go against an underdog Iowa State team anymore. They are for real. Iowa State, 21-10.

Texas @ #8 TCU (TCU -7.0)

Tough luck last weekend for TCU. While the Frogs learned about Iowa State the hard way, Texas laid the hammer down on Baylor. At this point in the season, TCU is fighting for the Big 12 title and a slim shot at the College Football Playoff and Texas is just trying to get bowl eligible. This is going to be a battle, but the Frogs get back to winning ways. TCU, 41-31.

Kansas State @ Texas Tech (Tech -3.0)

Poor Tech. A few weeks ago, they had things turned around. The Red Raiders were a legit team in the Top 25, hell maybe even the 4th best in the Big 12. Now they are 4-4 and struggling to stay afloat. If you want to point out the real victims of how hard it is to win in the Big 12 round robin, look no further than the team in Lubbock.

Kansas State has gotten the bad end of the stick too, but they lost to Vandy so screw them.  Tech, 45-21.

#5 Oklahoma @ #11 Oklahoma State  (OSU -2.5)

Uh oh. The Sooners are another road underdog to another OSU. I meant, just look at Baker here.

Both the Sooners and Baker are easily at their best when they are doubted. When OU is comfortable, things go rapidly down hill. Watching Baker’s reaction here and knowing how vicious the Poke crowd is on Bedlam has firmly convinced me this game is going to be a beatdown. The endless amount of Fayetteville references will only fuel these guys more.

Not only that, but Cale Gundy’s brother just can’t coach these things. Unless he has a clearly superior team or is coaching against a team starting Cody Thomas at quarterback, he just can’t get it done in Bedlam.

The real question should be whether or not Baker plants the flag. OU, 52-31.