The Schooner Pod: Week 5 Picks

Bobby and Ty lay down their picks for this weekend in the Big 12 and around the country.

The Schooner Pod: Texas Tech, Week 4 Review and Discussing Natties

Bobby and Ty drag Michigan and Texas A&M through the mud, break down the Alan Bowman-less Texas Tech, finally do their jobs and talk OU football news and go off on a wonderful tangent about college football national championships.

Game Week: Texas Tech

A preview of Oklahoma’s Big 12 opener.

The first bye week has come and gone and once again, it’s football time in Oklahoma. After three games of cupcakes, the Sooners return from their break to face…another not-so-great team.

Meet the Red Raiders

Two weeks ago, this game actually looked decently entertaining. Texas Tech was rolling with new head coach Matt Wells until quarterback Alan Bowman injured his shoulder against Arizona early in the third quarter.

Bowman finished the game, but the usually potent Red Raider offense looked flat all night in the 28-14 loss. After the game, Tech announced that Bowman would miss several weeks with the injury. 

For years, Texas Tech fans asked for a team with a defense as good as its offense. In 2019, this appears to have come true thanks to a monkey’s paw-like twist that has left both units to be aggressively average. 

Who to Watch For:

Whoever is at Quarterback. Jett Duffey I Guess?

This is a huge question mark. Tech’s offense will change dramatically depending on who steps in for Alan Bowman. The leader in the clubhouse is probably Jett Duffey, the duel threat backup who saw action last season when Bowman went down with a collapsed lung (twice). Duffey has had his moments of greatness but tends to turn the ball over at the worst possible times. If Wells wants to use his rushing ability to get weird with it, he might be a real threat.

The other option is Rice transfer Jackson Tyner, who is a closer fit style-wise to Bowman but not nearly as good. If Wells is playing to win, he should go full wildcard with Duffey.

Why You Should Be Excited

It’s been a full week without OU football in your life. That’s pretty tough!

Honestly, that’s all I got. Tech is pretty bad and the 11 AM kick doesn’t help. Sooner Football kinda sells itself.

Series History (OU Leads 20-6)

Last time out, OU and Tech got into a classic “I hate this and want to leave” scrap where defense is thrown out the window and nobody goes home happy.

Kyler Murray started off throwing a pick at his own 20, causing OU to go down 14-0 in the 1st. The Sooners recovered, took the lead, and spent the rest of the night trying to beat back the Red Raiders.

Alan Bowman went off before re-collapsing his lung and having to exit the game. Jett Duffey was much less effective.

Oklahoma finally ended the night with a rare defensive 2 point conversion return from Robert Barnes, who ran a pick all the way back for a touchdown, graciously ending the evening for all involved parties.

Weekend Spread: Week 11

Bobby: 7-1 (41-38)

Jamison: 5-3 (37-42)

Blake: 5-3 (41-38)

Last Week

#16 Mississippi State @ #1 Alabama (ALA -24.5)

Bobby: Once again, Alabama showed that it is just on a completely different tier from the rest of the SEC last Saturday when it completely shut down LSU. Almost every line of their’s is a toss up and this one is at a baffling 24.5. For some reason, we keep overrating Mississippi State and I’ve been struggling to wrap my head around it all season. The Tide will cover this one, easy. Alabama, -24.5

Jamison: Alabama has done a miraculous job covering this year. If Bama just beat LSU at Death Valley by 29, I am pretty sure they can beat MSU by more than that. Only thing I am worried about is a backdoor cover. However, I have no doubt Alabama leads by 25+ for the majority of this game. Alabama, -24.5

Blake: What Alabama did to LSU last week should be illegal in all 50 states. Alabama straight up made LSU, who I still think is a very respectable football team, into their whipping boy and just lashed the hell out of them. Everybody right now is trying to get cute with these hypothetical scenarios in which Alabama loses in the regular season or the SEC championship and causes madness in the CFP polls, but that is just not going to happen. I have been saying all year that this is the best team I have seen IN MY LIFETIME. I am so confident in that statement that I am willing to chop off my pinky if they do not make it to the College Football Playoff (Editor’s Note: Cease and Desist). No way I bet against Alabama in this one. Easy money right here. Alabama, -24.5

#2 Clemson @ #17 Boston College (CLEM -20)

Bobby: Okay, why are there so many ACC teams in the top 25? It utterly baffles me that a group of people actually think that Boston College is actually a good football team. As we saw with #14 NC State getting exposed on Thursday against Wake freakin’ Forest, Clemson is going to blow the Eagles out of the water Saturday with a very comfortable cover. Clemson, -20

Jamison: Hard pick here with Boston College hosting College Gameday and getting the prime time ABC slot. We saw Ohio State fall at Purdue because the Boilermakers had great energy and feed off the atmosphere. Although BC only has 2 losses this season, I am not sold on them. They have not looked like a 2 loss team in the games I have watched. AJ Dillon, running back for BC, is something special, but Clemson is hitting their stride and that D-line is going to be hard to get through. Give me an efficient day for Trevor Lawrence and a great day for Clemson’s D. Clemson, -20

Blake: That fact that Boston College is ranked is absolutely ridiculous. I have not watched a Boston College game all year nor have I even looked at their schedule, but I can tell you with 100% certainty that this team is garbage. I just imagine this team being super boring to watch because they run the triple option every play or control the clock well. Between them and Syracuse, the ACC Is just getting this wild boost for teams that suck but are somehow ranked super high in the rankings. I know this Clemson team is for real so give me the Tigers in a blow out. Clemson, -20

#8 Washington State @ Colorado (WAZZU -6)

Bobby: Another no-brainer of a pick. Washington State is the only team in college football to cover the spread in every game they’ve played in this season. So why is Vegas giving out another low spread, especially against a Colorado team that is winless in its last four games. This one is easy, Wazzu wins comfortably. Washington State, -6

Jamison: Colorado is falling, and falling hard. Washington State is rising. I am STUNNED how highly the CFP committee thinks of WSU, and that is probably due to the fact they have covered and exceeded expectations in every game this year. I am also scared of this game due to it being in Boulder, but Colorado just lost to Oregon State at home. That’s sad. Oregon State doesn’t have the Rodgers brothers anymore. Ever since then, they have been bottom feeders. Long live Mike Leach. Washington State, -6

Blake: Having Mike Leach front and center on the national stage has been the best thing to happen to college football in a while. Watching him go on a two minute rant on why Ralphie the Buffalo and Mike the Tiger are the two best mascots in college football was easily the highlight of my week. I need Washington State to be good so I can get more Mike Leach quotes.

https://twitter.com/SWXFemi/status/1059617822068760576/video/1

On the other side of the coin, Colorado is one of the most deceptively bad teams in the nation. After Bobby and I got burned by them when they played USC, I knew that I could never trust this team again and that they are just utterly horrible. Any team that loses to USC this year should be kicked out of college football, so this makes my pick easy. Give me Washington State to continue the hot streak and keep the miracle season alive. Washington State, -6

Kansas @ Kansas State (KSU -12)

Bobby: The Battle for the Sunflower State! The Jayhawks travel to Manhattan to face a K-State team that has been unusually awful. I know that I might be taking the bait on Kansas here, but I like the ‘Hawks to not only keep this game close but to provide the cherry on top of this awful Wildcat season. Kansas, +12

Jamison: Gah, this game is going to stink. I don’t even know if K-State has the capability of scoring 12 points. But, for some reason, I’ve got a feeling they can do it. It’s somewhat of a rivalry game, and Kansas is Kansas. The Wildcats will have plenty of opportunities to score, and if they can score 21, they should cover easily.

It feels so weird picking K-State again. Since the curse has been broken, and the Martingale-Roulette Strategy finally worked, I can start betting on K-State again. If history truly does repeat itself, I am in for a bad time. Kansas State, -12

Blake: There have been two gambling theories that I have taken to the grave this year; you always bet against Kansas and Kansas State. Now this game is forcing me to choose which one I believe in more than the other. This Kansas team is BADDDDDD, so bad that they had to fire their head coach in the middle of the season (knowing that they are this bad has only made it harder knowing that TCU lost to this team).

On the other side, you have a horrible Kansas State team that is run by the most overrated college football coach of all time. This was a difficult decision for me, but I have to go with Kansas here. Currently, if Bill Synder was the head coach of Alabama, I don’t think they would go .500 on the season. The man does not know how to coach anymore and has caused his program to become bottom dwellers of the Big 12. Kansas State should honestly fire him right now, but that is the thing about naming your stadium after the active coach, you can’t fire him till he leaves himself. Gonna be rolling in dollar bills after Kansas upsets KSU this weekend. Kansas, +12

Baylor @ #22 Iowa State (ISU -14.5)

Bobby: It’s time of the week where I remind you that Iowa State is undefeated against the spread this season. The Cyclones are rolling with Brock Purdy at quarterback and have an outside shot at a Big 12 title appearance. ISU is criminally underrated as I believe they are the best three loss team in the nation. While Baylor had a big win against Oklahoma State last week, I don’t think they have any hope on Saturday. The ‘Clones are on a mission. Iowa State, -14.5

Jamison: I picked Baylor to be the best team against the spread this year in the Big 12 in preseason. They’ve shown flashes of potential, but have disappointed greatly. Iowa State, on the other hand, has covered every Big 12 game this year and they were Bobby’s pick. I cannot let him have this one. This game is for glory, and for my pride. If Baylor can pull this one out, I will feel at peace with the Bears down in Waco. C’mon Brewer, I need some more magic. Baylor, +14.5

Blake: The Crowleyman Jersey Picks have NEVA LOST (Lavar Ball voice) this season. Last week, we went 2 for 2 when picking teams solely off of their jerseys. I knew the Sailor Bears and the Black Raiders were easy dubs. As Deion Sanders once said, “”If you look good, you feel good. If you feel good, you play good. If you play good, they pay good.” Bobby and Jamison have yet to figure this out, so I am going to rake on these picks.

Sadly, Baylor will not be rocking to the Sailor Bears this week. Although they are going back to their traditional uniforms, I still like Baylor in this spot. Iowa State has been playing incredible this season with Brock Purdy and theoretically have a chance to make it to the Big 12 Championship, but I still think Baylor will keep this one close. We have seen it against OSU and Texas a few weeks ago that this Baylor team can play and they are currently on the edge of bowl eligibility with having to win at least one of their last three games. Matt Rhule has changed the direction of this football program, so give me Baylor to cover. Baylor, +14.5

TCU @ #9 West Virginia (WVU -12.5)

Bobby: It may have taken a few months, but West Virginia is operating at full capacity right now. Will Grier looks like the gutty quarterback we’ve heard about and West Virginia looks like a solid team for once. While games like last week’s typically result in a bit of a let down, this line is ridiculously low for a TCU team that threw in the towel weeks ago. The Mountaineers will roll in Morgantown. West Virginia, -12.5

Jamison: Part 1 of the return of Durdy’s Lock of the Week™. I am locking two picks this week because if they both hit, it’ll boost its credibility. My locks have been horrid the whole year, but its time to turn it around. WVU playing a team at home that lost to Kansas and only beat K-State by 1; not being projected to win by 21+ is a joke. WVU just went to Austin and beat Texas in a very tough environment. Give them props. Mountaineers win BIG in this one, as TCU’s offense continues to fall to pieces. West Virginia, -12.5

Blake: When I saw this spread, my jaw hit the floor because of how low it is. Although I love my Frogs, they are an absolute train wreck right now and barely beat Kansas State (see above for my analysis on why they are so horrible) by just one point. West Virginia needs to win and win big because the College Football Playoff committee still has them rated below LSU, who lost ugly to Alabama last week.

The Mountaineers are going to look to pummel my Horned Frogs into extinction and that is exactly what they are going to do. Throw down as much money as you can on this spread and the 1st half spread because this is going to get ugly real quick. This TCU team was not that good to start the year; now we have 20 guys on the roster that are out with injury for the year and 4 of those were safeties. Grier is going to have a field day and smash the Frogs bad. It has been so hard to cope with the fact that TCU is so bad at football but I might as well win some money of them being bad. West Virginia, -12.5

#19 Texas @ Texas Tech (UT -2)

Bobby: Honestly, Texas is back to normal. People who have this idea of the ‘Horns being some sort of powerhouse that is a pillar of college football just are playing themselves. Since the sport was integrated, Texas has been a team that always has the illusion of quality, but never usually amounts to much. Sure, they might look good in the preseason and maybe get a big win in September or October, but sooner or later they are revealed as the frauds they really are. Now, after a second straight loss, we see Texas for what they really are; a mediocre, underachieving, overhyped bag of excuses and ego that wins just enough games to give its fans irrational confidence. Welcome back, Longhorns.

With that being said, I get the feeling Tech’s shot at a big win was blown last week against OU. The Red Raiders get a bit of a mulligan this week with another home night game, but with Jett Duffy in at quarterback I cannot pick them with any confidence. Texas, -2

Jamison: Part 2 of Durdy’s Lock of the Week™. Yes, Tech looked great last week, but that was with one half of Alan Bowman. Their offense completely changed when Duffey entered the game. Bowman was sent to the hospital again for his recent pneumothorax, and it is highly unlikely he is going to play. Texas is looking for a bounce back win, and my bet is their defense is going to bully Jett Duffey. I expect a comfortable win from Texas here, most likely by double digits. Don’t forget, Sam Ehlinger is out for blood for all of those who put horns down. Mans got a chip on his shoulder (#hornsupforpeace). Texas, -2

Blake: Texas is not back. Texas Tech, +2

Oklahoma State @ #6 Oklahoma (OU -18)

Bobby: This Bedlam game is a mess. The Cowboys are an enigma that really are impossible to predict. They have the capability to do damage offensively, but that defense flat out stinks. Even if Corndog has a big game, I don’t think they’ll be able to stop OU’s defense enough to even cover. I see the Sooner defense rebounding in a big way and shutting down Oklahoma State’s middling offense. The OU offense will do what it does: score. It’ll be a blowout in Norman. Oklahoma, -18

Jamison: This week, I have had visions of Corny Dog running all over our offense and me face palming in the stands. I am worried he will do to us what Ehlinger did at the Cotton Bowl. But this is Bedlam week. I cannot have any reason to cheer for OSU success. All I want to see is OSU to continue to embarrass themselves, and lose their fifth game out of last six.

The OSU locker room has to be extremely deflated after the game last week. Even though they’re trying to get pumped for this one, it’s hard to come to Norman, as a rival, against a good OU team. The Cowboys have had very little success in recent history winning in Norman, or even keeping the game close in Norman, when OU has a good team. The Tyreek Hill game was supposed to be a comfortable win for OU, but it fluked. That OU team was horrrribbbbleeee though by our standards. Give me OU, BIG, and an empty student section in third quarter. Oklahoma, -18

Blake: Websters dictionary defines a rivalry as “competition for the same objective or for superiority in the same field”. This definition implies that when a rivalry exists there must be two parties that are somewhat equal, so that they can compete for superiority. Bedlam is NOT a rivalry.The current record for the Bedlam game is OU leads 87-18-7. OSU has not even come close to be comparable to OU at any point, so there is no way you can ever consider this a rivalry. Woke take on Bedlam, OSU created the name and the rivalry just so they could get some attention by someone outside of Stillwater. Give me the Sooners to WIN BIG!! Oklahoma, -18

The Schooner Pod: Oklahoma State and Week 11

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#EndFallWeddings

In this week’s pod, Bobby and Jamison break down Oklahoma’s tough win over Texas Tech, the big recruiting implications of this weekend, preview Taylor “Corndog” Cornelius and the Oklahoma State Cowboys, make their week 11 picks and take a quick look at the 2018-19 Sooner basketball team.

PLUS: Consider donating to our Patreon to get exclusive (probably drunk) postgame reaction podcasts after every game for just one dollar. No better deal in sports recaps!

If you haven’t already, please subscribe to us on Apple Podcasts and rate us five stars! If you like our stuff, please consider donating to our Patreon so we can help put out more and better content. As always, follow us on Twitter and Facebook to get the latest Schooner Blog and Schooner Pod content delivered right to you. 

Delay of Recap: OU Escapes Lubbock, Beats Texas Tech 51-46

Anytime you can escape Lubbock with a win it’s a good thing, right?

Right?

While this game wasn’t quite the offensive mess of the 2016 meeting between Oklahoma and Texas Tech, it was a game where defense clearly was on the back burner. Saturday was one of the sloppiest we’ve seen a Sooner team play in quite a while and if this there a better team (or if Alan Bowman didn’t get hurt) this could have ended in a crushing defeat for OU.

  • In last week’s Schooner Pod, I noted that we haven’t exactly seen Kyler Murray play in any intense road atmosphere at OU. Considering the only thing close to those circumstances would be the Texas game where Murray threw a questionable interception and lost the ball on a pretty rough fumble, I thought we might see him rattled in Lubbock and boy was he. Murray threw two picks from inside his own twenty five on Oklahoma’s first two drives of the game, putting the Sooners in a 14-0 hole right from the gun. While Kyler did recover his composure, throwing for 360 yards and adding 100 on the ground, this has to be a major concern for a team with a date in Morgantown on the schedule.
  • As bad as the officiating was, the only reason this game was close is due to easily fixed mistakes. Too many holds, too many pass interference calls (two of which in the endzone, with one of them not even being one at all), and too many personal fouls. This game, as well as the earlier Texas-West Virginia game, were entirely too over officiated which is becoming a frustrating trend with these officiating crews. Apparently, you have to play emotionless or else the flags will be flying.
  • The defense is (justifiably) getting slammed, but honestly there were some aspects of improvement. Most of the good aspects did happen after Red Raider quarterback Alan Bowman exited the game with his collapsed lung issue coming back, but the defensive line pressure and red zone defense looked good.
  • With that being said, Antoine Wesley, Tech’s 6’5 receiver, going off for 199 yards was not ideal. As noted MANY times, our secondary has a clear issue with large receivers. This is a personnel issue; our corners simply aren’t big enough to stop any tall receiver it seems. Spin Zone: maybe one of them will break out the Russell Westbrook “rock the baby” celebration and get an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty from a Big 12 ref.
  • The twin pillars of CeeDee Lamb and Marquise Brown have dominated the OU receiving column this season, but yesterday Lee Morris was the star of the show. Morris, who is usually known for basically only catching touchdowns, had a monster game for the Sooners yesterday with 101 yards on four receptions and two touchdowns.
  • How about the attempt to throw Carson Meier a fade in the endzone?

MVP: Trey Sermon

Having a deep stable of running backs is massively beneficial for many reasons, but with Lincoln Riley’s “go with the hot hand” strategy it provides an important motivational tool; perform or ride the pine. After TCU, I though we might see Kennedy Brooks fill more of a leading role. Trey Sermon has sure flipped that notion on its head the past two weeks. Sermon broke off a career day, rushing for 206 yards and three touchdowns. The guy simply couldn’t be stopped, blending a mix of hard running with his excellent ability to separate in open space.

LVP(s): Pretty Much Everyone But Trey Sermon

Simply put, OU did not look like themselves at all. I don’t know if it was the fouls, the rough start or the Tech atmosphere, but the Sooners just couldn’t shake the funk. The decision making on and off the field was just really off. In addition to what I’ve covered already, the offensive looked rushed and panicked at times, the defensive IQ was highly questionable and honestly this just wasn’t a good performance. The Oklahoma offense did play great, but if the Sooners want to win anything of substance they can’t rely on the offense to bail them out. If they do, the game will most likely end the way it did in the Cotton Bowl.

The Big Idea:

I know it’s hard to feel good about this team’s overall chances with teams like Alabama, Michigan and Clemson looking dominant in all facets of the this weekend, but you gotta realize that this game is about survival. You don’t have to be the best team every game, just the best team that day. OU looked rough, but the loss column still has one L in it. Sometimes, escape is the best you can ask for.

Up Next:

Corndog and Oklahoma State in Norman for Bedlam.

Weekend Spread: Week 10

Bobby: 5-3 (34-37)

Jamison: 4-4 (32-39)

Blake: 5-3 (36-35)

It was a good week for everyone; all four guys finished over .500, including our guest picker @anonymoussooner. This week is a big one for college football as we have two Top 10 matchups in the SEC and two big games in the Big 12 with Oklahoma-Texas Tech and West Virginia-Texas. 

Last Week

#1 Alabama @ #3 LSU (ALA -14)

Bobby: While Alabama hasn’t had a stiff test so far this season, this trip to Death Valley certainly fits the bill. LSU has a stanch defense and a homefield advantage like no other. In pretty much any year, this would be an upset alert.

But this Tide team is different. Their offense has morphed into seemingly an unstoppable machine and while LSU will provide more pushback than probably any other team this year, I just don’t see Joe Burrow being able to keep up with this Crimson Tide offense and Tua Tagovailoa. I know -14 seems like a lot of points, but I see ‘Bama covering this easily. Alabama, -14

Jamison: My god, I am picking every road team this weekend. Alabama has not faced an opponent, nor a betting line, like this all year. Even playing the #4 seed in the nation on the road, they are still 14 point favorites. I would love to see a close and competitive game, but it’s most likely not going to happen. I see Alabama only having trouble with offensive teams, which LSU is not, nor is any SEC team. Give me Alabama by 21 here, and the 21 only happens due to slop scores by LSU. Alabama, -14

Blake:  IT IS SO GOOD TO BE BACK. After two weeks away from the writing game, the Crowleyman, aka Boatin Blake, is back and excited as ever to give his hot takes. Let’s dive in.

As Coach O said this past week, “Stay off that damn Twitter machine”. You can tell from comments like that the Tigers mean business. I know I have said on this blog and the podcast that this Alabama team is the best college football team I have seen in my lifetime and I still believe that.

However, I do not want that to be true and I want LSU to win this game so bad. Coach O is the ultimate underdog coach, so if anyone can pull it off it will be him. There is nothing more that I need in my life right now than a Coach O post-LSU victory over Alabama celebration video. Please please please dear Lord, allow LSU to win this game. Give me the Tigers in this one. LSU, +14

#6 Georgia @ #9 Kentucky (UGA -9.5)

Bobby: My Kentucky boys got another big win last week, barely taking out Missouri on the last play of the game, awarded by a last play pass interference call. Mark Stoops and his guys look like a team of destiny this season and are one big win over Georgia away from a spot in the SEC Title.

However, I feel like this is the end of their luck. For the first time all season, Georgia looked like Georgia again. I think the Dawgs keep rolling and bring Kentucky back down to reality. Thankfully for the Wildcats, it’s basketball season. Georgia, -9.5

Jamison: I am not buying in to the Kentucky hype. Sure, I love their story, and Mark Stoops crowd surf after a come back win last week, but the #11 team in the nation should be beating Missouri by more than 1. Georgia looked great last week versus Florida, and feel refreshed coming off the bye week. Their offense looked great, and they feel poised to blow out Kentucky this week. Georgia, -9.5

Blake: Another head vs. heart game in the SEC. Kentucky has become easily the most likable team in the nation by making a basketball school into a football school. Additionally, the locker room crowd surfing Mark Stoops to Mo Bamba was my favorite celebration video I have seen all year. I would love to see a LSU v. Kentucky SEC championship. Give me the Wildcats. Kentucky, +9.5

#14 Penn State @ #5 Michigan (UM -10)

Bobby: I’ve been a Michigan skeptic all season. The Wolverines greatly disappointed in Week 1 against Notre Dame, but that loss looks better and better every week. Frankly, I really want to see them lose here, but this Penn State team just isn’t it. Trace McSorley is going to get throttled by the Michigan defense and it’s going to really suck. That being said, it’s going to happen, giving us another week of uneasiness in hoping for one of the big dominos ahead of OU to fall. Michigan, -10

Jamison: Picking with my heart on this one, just as I did with LSU beating Georgia. I am going to pick Penn State in an upset in this one. Penn State beat a solid team in Iowa last week, and are looking to gain back their credibility in the Big 10. This has been the most hype Michigan has had since Harbaugh arrived, and knowing Harbaugh, he is bound to falter. Although Michigan is at home, they will get stunned. Penn State, +10

Blake: I hate Big Ten football, I do not care about Big Ten football, so I will use this time as an educational session for the confused out there on something I have been wondering myself. WHAT THE HELL IS A NITTANY LION? Per the big brains at Wikipedia, a Nittany Lion is just an ordinary mountain lion/cougar. Nothing special about it. The only distinguishing factor between it and any other mountain lion is it is from Mt. Nittany, which is not that cool. For some reason I always thought the Nittany Lion was this sick super breed of lions, but I was thoroughly disappointed. Because of this letdown, give me the Wolverines. Michigan, -10

Oklahoma State @ Baylor (OSU -7.5)

Bobby: Daaaaaaaamn, OSU, I didn’t know you had it in you. Like, at all. I know I didn’t trust Texas like at all, but really? Corn Dog with FIVE overall touchdowns and 344 yards? Tough look for the brand.

While seeing that Oklahoma State actually has it in them to play this way is interesting, this was a big momentum game. I see the Pokes coming into Waco looking flat. Baylor is going to come out angry after last week’s embarrassment in Morgantown. I think we’ll see a fired up Bears take out the Cowboys, but this is a toss up game honestly. Baylor +7.5

Jamison: There are rumbling that Charlie Brewer is hurt (concussion) for Baylor, which makes this line quite odd. Since I am writing this up on a Tuesday, my reasoning could make 0 sense could Friday when this is posted. I see OSU coming out slow after a huge week beating Texas, but it’s hard to bet on Baylor when their QB’s status is in the air.

Baylor backup Jaylan McClendon has not shown to be a reliable QB in what little time he has been given this weekend. Without a reliable QB, Hurd and Mims wont be able to get the ball. Give me OSU, but if Brewer does play, I am not going to like this pick. Oklahoma State, -7.5 

Blake: OSU needs to be held up on the Big 12’s shoulders like Rudy. They saved us all from hearing the annoying Texas fans all season long about how good they are. I knew when they came out in the Barry Sanders throwback uniforms plus being Homecoming that they would runover this Texas team and they did.

But now, I think OSU will get the same treatment that gave Texas by Baylor. Not only is it Homecoming in Waco this week, which I have heard is pretty spectacular and holds its own with some of the best homecomings across the nation, but there is murmurs that they might be wearing Sailor Bear throwbacks.

If y’all are not familiar with the Sailor Bear, it is one of the best throwback logos in college football. Even when I was at TCU and could not stand anything Baylor related, I still thought that the Sailor Bear logo was pretty cool. If the Bears come running out of the tunnel with the Sailor Bear on their helmet, Baylor by a million. If not, they will still beat OSU because this team is just really not that good. Bears, beats, Battlestar Galactica on this one. Baylor, +7.5

#24 Iowa State @ Kansas (ISU -14.5)

Bobby: I don’t know what to be more excited about, my call on the Kansas upset or Iowa State being ranked in the Top 25? The Cyclones are looking like a legitimate quality win for the Sooners now and have covered every Big 12 game this season. This line is criminally low and inflated by the TCU upset, so I’m rolling BIG TIME on ISU on the road. Iowa State, -14.5

Jamison: Iowa State on the road is not the same team when they are at home. BUT, they are playing Kansas. Does Vegas think Kansas is legitimate since they beat TCU? They shouldn’t. Kansas is still the same team that lost to Nichols. Expect a blow out here, as Brock Purdy continues to impress for the Cyclones. Iowa State, -14.5

Blake: I wish I had a time machine because if I did I would have convinced Iowa State to start Brock Purdy at the beginning of the season. This dude is an electric factory and because of him, Iowa State has finally left the cellar of the Big 12. A few years ago, this was both of these teams’ bowl game as it determined who finished last in the Big 12. Now these teams have moved on to bigger and brighter futures as they both have a Big 12 win under their belt. Give me the Cyclones to tear apart this Kansas team. Iowa State, -14.5

Kansas State @ TCU (TCU -8.5)

Bobby: I have won many times this season picked against the very overrated and disappointing Horned Frogs. Just as I predicted, TCU has hit rock bottom. And what does Vegas do? They give them a 8.5 spread! It’s almost like they never learn! Kansas State is not a good team by any means, but I have Alex Barnes and the Wildcats at least keeping this within seven. Kansas State, -8.5

Jamison: Excuse me. What? Really? I mean, maybe TCU could win by 9+, but is this really the line after losing to Kansas? I pledged to pick against K-state until I won, which was finally achieved with the OU game. Thank god that happened, because no way I can pass up picking K-state in this game. I do not doubt TCU’s talent is 9+ points better, but I doubt that they have any determination to win by that amount. This team is in the dumps, and just wants the season to end. Kansas State, -8.5

Blake: Let me be the first to say it: TCU IS THE WORST TEAM IN THE BIG 12. I am a notoriously pessimistic TCU fan and I had predicted that they would be around .500 once the season had concluded. I never predicted it would be this bad. We lost to Kansas…KANSAS! It’s the ultimate shame, dunce hat loss you could ever have as a member of the Big 12. I have never been more ashamed to be a TCU fan knowing that we will been known for the next few years as the team that lost to Kansas. Even if we win the national championship next year, people will still make fun of how we lost to Kansas.

With that being said, I will not back down from the fact that Bill Synder is overrated, and this Kansas State team is absolute garbage. This should be a testament on how much I believe in this take that I am willing to take TCU by more than a touchdown over this overhyped dumpster fire. This is the ultimate Loser Leaves Towngame where I honestly believe the loser of this game should have to leave the Big 12. If KState wins, I do not how I can ever watch TCU football ever again. This K State team is so bad that we cannot lose to both of the trash Kansas teams in back to back weeks. It just can’t happen. Give me the Frogs. TCU, -8.5

#13 West Virginia @ #17 Texas (UT -2)

Bobby: This is a big one. The West Virginia offense looked rejuvenated last Thursday in Morgantown and Texas looked lackadaisical in their upset loss to Oklahoma State. It hard to get a read on this one. For Texas, this is a stand your ground game; if they lose, they can kiss their Big 12 Championship hopes goodbye and prepare for Orlando or San Antonio. I think West Virginia is a better team, but I don’t know if I trust them away from Morgantown. With that being said, I think talent wins out here. West Virginia, +2

Jamison: Great game and it is most definitely going to be a close one. Texas has done great when staying in Texas thus far, but you have to love West Virginia here. I expect Texas to lose 2 more games for the rest of the season, and fall out of Big 12 championship talks. I cannot believe we actually thought we had a chance of replaying Texas. No way that happens to a team that just lost to OSU. Let us not forget how bad OSU has been this season. Mountaineers by 4. West Virginia, -2

Blake: TEXAS IS NOT BACK and I am absolutely loving life because of it. For weeks after the Red River Shootout, I had to listen to all the Texas fans at school talk about how they were going to win the Big 12 and make the playoff. NO MORE. Instead I got to see a whole bunch of Texas fans depressed in the library while studying for finals, while I danced on their graves. The world is a much better place when Texas is losing, and I just want this to continue. Give me West Virginia to rip the hearts out of Texas fans in Austin. West Virginia, +2

Gambling tip: There is no more profitable strategy in football to bet Texas when they are underdogs and against them when they are favorites. Putting aside my emotional feelings for this game, this is an easy winner with the above strategy.

#7 Oklahoma @ Texas Tech (OU -12)

Bobby: This is a spooky game, sure, but this Texas Tech team isn’t nearly on the caliber of the Sooners. OU’s offense is rolling at historic levels and the defense is stopping teams at a level they haven’t done in far too long. I think the Tech upset potential is real if the improved Red Raider defense and their crowd of madmen can get Kyler Murray and the offensive line flustered. However, I think the Sooner defense makes enough stops and gets to Alan Bowman enough for the offense to coast Oklahoma to a hard fought road victory. Oklahoma, -12

Jamison: It’s going to be a long game folks. Not as long as the Mahomes vs. Baker game, but a game with Lincoln vs. Kliff is going to have a lot of throwing. Tech barely ran the ball against Iowa State last week (leading rusher had 16 yards), which makes the Tech offense quite one dimensional. As I said in last week’s pod and write up, I like OU’s defense vs. one dimensional teams.

Tech does have a 6’5 WR in Antoine Wesley who recorded 17 rec. 274 yards 2 TD in the past two games, which concerns me, but I feel we can give up a couple of touchdowns and still easily cover. Kennedy Brooks has filled the gap we have been missing with Anderson gone, which has bolstered our offense to another level (which is crazy to say because we were already the 2nd most efficient offense in America). Expect another 50+ points from the Sooners here. Sooners 62, Tech 38. Oklahoma, -12

Blake: I originally wrote that OU has nothing to worry about this game because I think they are leagues above this Texas Tech team on every level, but then I looked up the start time and the jerseys that Tech are wearing. Tech on Saturday night will be wearing their all black jerseys and now I am scared for OU.

The all black Tech uniforms are some of my favorite in college football and you they are going to play extra hard in these. Similarly, to how OSU balled out last week against Texas in the Barry Sanders throwbacks, I think we are going to see a similar effect here. OU fans should be trembling in their boots as they might be on upset alert come Saturday night. Jersey combos matter so give me Tech and the points. Texas Tech, +12